Calculate the numbers, but the reality is few can predict what it takes to win a state championship.
Ask Jesuit, winner of the Class 2A, Region 3 meet, which has a good shot at bringing home a state crown.
Team titles come down to performance, air temperature, track conditions, uniforms, coaching, experience, strength and other intangibles, including pure luck.
Jesuit will rely on a true team effort, from the slowest leg of a relay to the top distance runner, to bag enough points to claim the coveted Class 2A title.
Here is a glimpse of some of those hoping to compile enough points to bring home a team title.
Junior Pat Beane, who finished third in the pole vault in regionals (12 feet, 6 inches), is Jesuit's only field event state qualifier. His region finish, which was a personal best, would have been good enough for third in the Region 1 and 2 meets and a fourth-place finish in Region 4.
In the 1,600, Connor Revord (4:19.42) and Jordan Schilit (4:23.02) finished first and second, respectively, in regionals. Both finished way ahead of region champs Colin Barker of Bishop Kenny (4:28.43), Marcus Martinez of Ponte Vedra (4:33.50) and Tyler Amato of Archbishop McCarthy (4:26.08).
Revord finished second in the 800 (1:57.99) — 3.66 seconds behind district rival Darrin Gibson of Robinson, but still ahead of region winners Gabriel Holquin of Bay (1:59.60), Jarred Hall of Eustis (1:58.74) and Lawrence Duran of Belen Jesuit (2:00.08).
Schilit won the 3,200 handily at regionals (9:42.21), more than nine seconds ahead of the second-place finisher and way ahead of district winner Barker (10:01.47) and Jimmy Clark of Creekside (10:00.02). Schilit's toughest competition will likely come from Region 4 champ Lazaro Field of Belen Jesuit (9:55.04).
The Tigers have a pair of relays capable of scoring big. In the 4x400, Logan Trimble, Mike McEnany, Evan Rubinson and Garrett Singletary finished third in the 2A-3 meet in 3:28.32. That proved good enough for six points toward the team total. In the 4x800, Trimble, McEnany, Schilit and Joe Parker ran an 8:02.53 for second place, worth eight points.
Others to watch
Mari Ostrenko, TC, 2A: The sophomore placed second in regionals in the pole vault (8-6).
Maddi Schmitt, TC, 2A: The junior dominated the triple jump at regionals (35-81/2), taking first place by 61/2 inches.
Auston Chen, Berkeley Prep, 2A: The district champion in the discus throw placed third in regionals (159-61/2).
Darrin Gibson, Robinson, 2A: After winning the 800 in districts, he took the region title in 1:54.33, bettering second-place Revord by 3.66 seconds.
Shakea Kindred, Spoto, 2A: The Spartans junior is coming off a fourth-place finish in the shot put (36-9) in the regional meet.