10/22/14 State Roundup
The mean and personal Florida governor's race remains deadlocked with Gov. Rick Scott and Charlie Crist each getting just 42 percent of the vote in the latest survey from Quinnipiac University.
More than one million Floridians have already cast mail-in absentee ballots and early in-person ballots ahead of the Nov. 4 election, with registered Republicans outvoting Democrats 48-35 percent.
Scott and his supporters have spent almost $60 million and Crist's side has dropped almost $27 million on TV ads since March — with the majority of the spending focused on sharp, negative messages. The negativity has taken its toll on the candidates....
From a press release:
Women and men are polar opposites in the Florida governor’s race, as likely voters split 42 – 42 percent between Republican Gov. Rick Scott and former Gov. Charlie Crist, running as a Democrat, with 7 percent for Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to results of a September 24 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Gov. Scott with 44 percent of likely voters, Crist with 42 percent and Wyllie with 8 percent....
10/21/14 State Roundup
More than 1 million Floridians have cast pre-Election Day ballots now that early in-person voting began Monday while mail-in absentee ballots continue to pour in.
Right now, it looks like good news for Republicans. They're still out-voting Democrats, who tend to dominate early voting just as Republicans do at absentee voting.
"The first day of early voting is in the books, and Charlie Crist's campaign is in complete meltdown," Gov. Rick Scott's deputy campaign manager, Tim Saler, wrote in a memo Tuesday morning to donors....
10/20/14 State Roundup
From his poor poll numbers to his formidable fortune, Rick Scott's political standing revolves around Columbia/HCA.
Scott was once hailed as a "wunderkind" for making the hospital chain the largest health care company in America. Then, he became a pariah after he and his company were investigated for Medicare fraud, leading to his ouster in 1997.
Today, Scott avoids even mentioning the words "Columbia/HCA."...
More than 888,000 absentee ballots had already been cast of Monday morning when early in-person voting began in Florida.
Right now, Republicans lead Democrats 49-35 percent in terms of absentee ballots cast by party. That 14 percentage point margin is lower than it was in 2010 but it’s far higher than in 2012.
Democrats typically excel at early voting while Republicans dominate voting by mail....
n 2012, Gov. Rick Scott was clear about plowing his personal fortunes into his reelection campaign: “I won’t have to.”
But now that Democrat Charlie Crist outraised him 6:1 last week, Scott appears ready to open his personal piggy bank. He has spent $56.5 million on ads (at least two-thirds of them negative) to Crist’s $26.5 million (also heavily negative) yet he and Crist remain tied....
Amy Sherman at PolitiFact Florida had the unenviable task today of pouring through debate rules to determine if Democrat Charlie Crist broke the rules of Wednesday night's debate when someone from his campaign put a fan at his lectern.
Was it a clear violation of the rules? Depends.
"By Monday night, there were two separate signed agreements: one by the Scott campaign that excluded fans and one by the Crist campaign that had a handwritten addition allowing the fan. There was no follow-up, either written or in conversation, about who would get to decide if a fan was necessary."...
10/16/14 State Roundup
TALLAHASSEE — Gov. Rick Scott's sudden absence at the start of a statewide TV debate reshaped the governor's race Thursday as event sponsors accused Charlie Crist of breaking the rules and Scott's side fretted over whether he damaged his re-election prospects.
At the center of the storm was a $20 fan that viewers couldn't see, quietly whirring near Crist's feet as he stood alone on stage Wednesday night at Broward College in Davie....
10/15/14 State Roundup
DAVIE — In what had to be the strangest start of a gubernatorial debate, Gov. Rick Scott initially refused to participate Wednesday night because Democrat Charlie Crist insisted on a fan to keep him cool.
Here's the transcript:
Eliott Rodriguez, CBS4 anchor and debate host: "Ladies and gentlemen we have an extremely peculiar situation right now. ... We have been told that Gov. Scott will not be participating in this debate. ... Gov. Crist has asked to have a fan, a small fan underneath the podium. ......
In what had to be the strangest start of a gubernatorial debate, Gov. Rick Scott initially refused to participate because Democrat Charlie Crist insisted on a fan to keep him cool.
The Republican governor finally emerged six minutes late as flummoxed moderators struggled to figure out what to do with only a bemused Crist standing on stage at BrowardCollege.
Here’s the transcript:...
10/15/14 State Roundup
In the weirdest start of a gubernatorial debate, Florida Gov. Rick Scott initially refused to take the stage Wednesday night because Democrat Charlie Crist insisted on using a fan to keep him cool.
The Republican governor finally emerged at least six minutes late as flummoxed moderators struggled on live TV to figure out what to do with a bemused Crist standing solo on stage at Broward College....
More than 535,000 absentee ballots have already been cast as of Tuesday night and, as in prior mid-term elections, Republicans have a solid lead in returns.
About 48 percent of all ballots cast so far have been by Republicans, 35 percent by Democrats and 17 percent by independent voters. That Republican lead of about 13 percentage points is certainly bigger than during the 2012 presidential elections, when Democratic turnout is generally higher, but it’s slightly less for this time in the election season for a mid term....
A federal judge denied Libertarian Adrian Wyllie’s emergency motion seeking access to Wednesday night’s gubernatorial debate.
U.S. District Judge James I. Cohn said Wyllie did not meet the requirements for gaining access to the debate hosted by the Florida Press Association and Leadership Florida. Cohn said the private nonprofit debate sponsors did not change the access rules by increasing the polling threshold required for a qualified candidate, 15 percent....
SurveyUSA's poll tracking for WFLA-TV shows that Charlie Crist is still marginally topping Gov. Rick Scott, 45-41 percent. Libertarian Adrian Wyllie is at 7 percent
But, like all other polls, that Crist lead is inside the error margin. So it's basically a tie....
Gov. Rick Scott's campaign features a not-so-new but pretty-effective spokesman in a new ad: Former Gov. Jeb Bush.
"In my experience as governor, I've found that there are two kinds of politicians," Bush says. "Those that are driven by personal ambition. And those that deliver results."
In case anyone was wondering, the first politician Bush references is his successor and Scott predecessor and current Scott challenger Charlie Crist. What makes the ad effective is that this somewhat-negative message is shown, not told. That is, Bush never says Crist's name. The camera just cuts to B-roll of Crist on the campaign trail....