If the Lightning ends up with the No. 1 pick in the June 27 draft and it listens to the Central Scouting Service, it will take Vincent Lecavalier, a 6-foot-4 center with Rimouski of the Quebec Major Junior Hockey League.
Lecavalier was the top junior prospect in the CCS's final rankings, released Monday.
David Legwand, a center from Plymouth of the Ontario Hockey League and the other player the Lightning is considering for its first pick, was rated second.
The Lightning finds out Sunday where it will pick in the first round. The lottery for teams that missed the playoffs will determine if Tampa Bay picks first or second.
In the weighted lottery system, the Lightning likely will get the first pick; it can do no worse than second.
Tampa Bay has a 62.7 percent chance of getting the top pick. It breaks down this way: There's a 28 percent chance of a Lightning ball coming up first. In addition, the Lightning, through a trade this season, has the option of swapping picks with the San Jose Sharks, who have an 18.5 percent of ending up with the No. 1 pick.
Because no team can move up more than four positions in the draft through the lottery, Tampa Bay also will land the No. 1 pick if Calgary (5.7 percent), the Rangers (4.1 percent), Toronto (2.8 percent), the Islanders (1.9 percent), Chicago (1.2 percent) or Carolina (0.5 percent) wins the lottery.
_ TOM JONES