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  1. Bucs

Mock draft consensus: Who the experts have Bucs taking at No. 7

We've collected mock drafts from 40 writers, and most of them think Tampa Bay will take a defensive back.

We've linked to a lot of mock drafts over the last four months.

We went back and assembled mocks from 40 different NFL writers we've linked to — this isn't the most recent for some of these who are in Mock 9.0 mode, but it's meant as an unscientific read of what the perceptions are for the Bucs at No. 7.

The consensus? Most people think it's unlikely that the perceived "big three" of Saquon Barkley, Bradley Chubb and Quenton Nelson will be gone when the Bucs are on the clock. And given that, most people think the Bucs will take a defensive back — 29 of the 40 we've compiled.

Within that, there's a late push for Florida State safety Derwin James, who leads the way with 15 picks out of 40, just ahead of Alabama defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick. Of those "big three," the one most likely to be seen as falling to 7 is Notre Dame guard Quenton Nelson, who was picked with the Bucs six times.

So here's all the collected wisdom — keep in mind some of the older mocks are before free agency, before trades at the top of the draft, but just there for some earlier perspectives on what might happen. Enjoy these in the last day or so before the picks start rolling in:

S Derwin James: Peter Schrager (4/25), Adam Stites (4/25), Nate Davis (4/25), Ray Fittipaldo (4/25), Brad Biggs (4/25), Rhett Lewis (4/25), Matthew Glenesk (4/24), Doug Farrar (4/23), Dane Brugler (4/17),  Chris Burke (4/17), Jason McIntyre (4/16), Chad Reuter (4/5), Charles Davis (3/23), R.J. White (3/20), Vinnie Iyer (3/8).

DB Minkah Fitzpatrick: Manish Mehta (4/25), Ryan Finley (4/24) Omar Kelly (4/23), Peter King (4/23), Jon Machota (4/22), Dave Birkett (4/20), Albert Breer (4/17), Jason La Canfora (4/16), Matt Lombardo (3/8), Matt Miller (3/6), Chris Trapasso (2/26), Lance Zierlein (1/30)

G Quenton Nelson: Will Brinson (4/20), Daniel Jeremiah (4/17), Sam Farmer (3/31), Don Banks (3/8), Adam Jahns (3/5), Danny Kelly (2/27).

DE Bradley Chubb: Bob Condotta (4/24), Charley Casserly (2/13)

CB Denzel Ward: Zac Jackson (4/24), Mel Kiper Jr. (4/4)

DT Vita Vea: Joe Marino (3/8)

RB Saquon Barkley: Mike Tanier (4/24)

DE Marcus Davenport: Bucky Brooks (1/26)