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Pick your poll poison: Andrew Gillum up 1 or up 5 over Ron DeSantis, or DeSantis up 3

About eight percent said they were undecided
Democrat Andrew Gillum (left) faces Republican Ron DeSantis (right) in the 2018 contest for Florida governor. [Matias J. Ocner/Miami Herald | AP Photo/John Raoux]
Democrat Andrew Gillum (left) faces Republican Ron DeSantis (right) in the 2018 contest for Florida governor. [Matias J. Ocner/Miami Herald | AP Photo/John Raoux]
Published Oct. 29, 2018|Updated Oct. 29, 2018

This post has been updated.

Two newly released Florida polls show Andrew Gillum  leading Ron DeSantis by 5 percentage points or by 1 percentage point.

A New York Times poll of 737 likely Florida voters conducted Oct. 23 – 27 shows Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum edging out Republican Ron DeSantis 48 percent to 43 percent. The telephone survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

An Oct. 23-26 CBS News/YouGov online poll  (often, but not always, viewed with more skepticism than live caller telephone surveys), shows Gillum with 47 percent and DeSantis with 46 percent support, effectively tied. It also showed Bill Nelson and Rick Scott tied in the U.S. Senate race with 46 percent each.

And finally, an Oct. 16-23 telephone poll conducted for Gray Television by Strategic Research Associates had DeSantis leading 48 percent to 45 percent. It showed Bill Nelson edging Rick Scott in the U.S. Senate 46 percent to 45 percent. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.46 percentage points

In the CBS poll, 76 percent of likely voters said health care is a "very important" issue in the elect, 74 percent said the economy, and 70 percent said immigration. Voters were about evenly divided on whether or not the U.S. should help the immigrant from Central America headed toward America, with 51 percent saying help.

The New York Times telephone survey is part of a cool project the Times launched this year to poll key races across the country with total transparency, including showing precisely where responses come from in near real time. Check it out here.

Forty-six percent of those surveyed approved of President Trump's performance, 47 percent disapproved. Sixty percent — the minimum threshold for passage — said they intended to vote for Amendment 4 restoring voting rights automatically for  many ex-felons, while 31 percent opposed it.'s average of recent polls shows Gillum leading DeSantis by an average of 3.2 percentage points, and Gillum leading in 19 of the past 20 polls.

Four years ago, Charlie Crist led Rick Scott in eight of the final 20 2014 gubernatorial race public polls, Rick Scott led in six, and six polls showed them tied. The final polling average showed Crist with by just .6 percentage points, and Scott won reelection by 1.1 percent.


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