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2nd poll shows Castor with lead but Straz performing well with black and young voters

St. Pete Polls surveyed a mix of Tampa voters who had already cast ballots and those who planned to do so.
Published Apr. 16
Updated Apr. 16

If you ask people who have already voted in Tampa’s mayoral election, Jane Castor would win big, collecting 70 percent of the vote, according to a public poll released Tuesday.

But. among those who haven’t voted yet, David Straz closes the gap to a 48-39 percentage point margin with 12 percent still undecided.

Combining the two groups, Castor enjoys a 57-34 percentage point lead with 8. 5 percent undecided.

Of those polled, 41 percent had already turned in a ballot while 59 percent had not yet voted.

Straz also is winning the African-American vote by a 55-32 percentage point margin and splits the Latino vote with Castor with each candidate drawing support form 42 percent of that group.

Castor is winning handily among white voters, older voters and among both Republicans, Democrats and Independents.

The two candidates split 48.6 percent of votes aged 18 to 29.

The telephone poll was conducted Monday when St. Pete Polls surveyed 552 registered voters. The margin of error was 4.2 percent.

Earlier today, another poll from the University of North Florida showed Castor will a much larger lead.

READ MORE: Castor up 36 points over Straz in poll

St. Pete Polls correctly predicted Castor’s win in the March 5 primary, although her first-place finish with 48 percent of the vote was higher than the poll indicated she would draw in the seven candidate field.

READ MORE: Castor leads pack in final days before election

Tuesday’s poll also showed Joe Citro with a 45-30 percentage point lead over Walter Smith II in the District 1 City Council runoff with 26 percent undecided.

In the District 3 runoff, John Dingfelder holds a 52-26 percentage point advantage over Stephen Lytle with 22 percent undecided.

The District 5 runoff between Orlando Gudes and Jeffrey Rhodes wasn’t polled.

Early voting is underway for the April 23 election.






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