The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of disturbed weather over the central and northwestern Bahamas that could become the fourth named storm of the season, Dorian.
Forecasters said the disturbance likely won’t organize over the next 48 hours and has only a 20 percent chance of forming into a tropical system over the next five days. Currently, the disturbance is bringing disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the Bahamas. As it moves east towards Florida, however, slow development is possible.
The Hurricane Center’s current model shows the disturbance’s projected path swinging north as it nears Miami and riding up the edge of the east coast as it passes Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas.
Following weeks of unusually heavy rainfall, Florida returned to its normal summertime weather pattern this week. Forecasters with the National Weather Service expect that pattern to hold, but the disturbance could bring some extra rain as the weekend approaches.
Meanwhile, the season’s third named storm, Tropical Storm Chantal, formed early Wednesday in the north Atlantic, hundreds of miles off the New England coast. The Hurricane Center said Chantal will pose no threat to land as it continues to head southeast over the next few days. Forecasters expect it to weaken to a depression by Thursday night.
2019 Tampa Bay Times Hurricane Guide
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