That tropical disturbance over the Bahamas now has a 90 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression early next week, but forecasters warn that it could happen even sooner.
That could leave South Florida having to endure another rain event.
But the Tampa Bay area will likely be spared this weekend.
“The east coast will see an increased chance of rain and South Florida has the best chance of heavy downpours,” said National Weather Service meteorologist Stephen Shiveley.
The system on Saturday was over South Florida. It’s producing a broad area of low pressure, cloudiness and storms. However, it could organize into a tropical depression as it moves northward away from Florida and up the Atlantic coast.
Forecasters give the disturbance a 70 percent chance of forming over the next two days and a 80 percent chance of forming over the next five days, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Regardless of formation, the system is likely to send heavy rains across Florida this weekend.
Inland Florida might see more rain as a result, but the bay area should only see its usual summer showers.
But the Tampa Bay region should still keep a wary eye on the Atlantic in the coming weeks.
“September is our peak,” Shiveley said. “We’re not quite there yet, so we need to watch out for more systems that could form up."
Forecasters said the flow created by the two events will set up rain patterns similar to the ones Florida saw last week with most activity coming to the coast late night and into the morning, then heading inland as the day progresses.
2019 Tampa Bay Times Hurricane Guide
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What Michael taught the Panhandle and Tampa Bay
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