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  1. Hurricane

Tampa Bay remains inside Tropical Storm Dorian’s forecast cone; late Saturday landfall possible for Florida

The system is expected to bring considerable wind and rain to Florida later this week and this weekend.
Tropical Storm Dorian's projected path, as of 2 p.m. Tuesday. [National Hurricane Center]
Published Aug. 27
Updated Aug. 28

LATEST UPDATE: Tropical Storm Dorian gathering strength, could hit Florida as Category 2 hurricane

The Tampa Bay area is inside the five-day forecast cone for Tropical Storm Dorian, which could make landfall on the east coast of Florida late Saturday or Sunday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center.

While a great deal of uncertainty remains about the storm’s future track and intensity, it is expected to bring considerable wind and rain to the state later this week and weekend.

“Take time now to prepare a hurricane emergency kit,” the hurricane center said. “Don’t wait until a warning is issued and the stores are empty or closed. Prepare an emergency plan and make sure every member of your family knows what to do if they aren’t home when an emergency is declared.”

As of 2 p.m. Tuesday, Dorian was located about 70 miles west-northwest of Martinique and continuing to move to the west-northwest at 13 mph toward Puerto Rico, Haiti and the Dominican Republic. The storm is expected to make a northwest turn on Wednesday.

Dorian brought tropical storm conditions to portions of the Lesser Antilles throughout the early afternoon, where tropical storm watches and warnings were in effect. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is expected from Martinique to St. Vincent, with as much as 10 inches possible, on Tuesday night.

Tropical storm conditions are expected and hurricane conditions are possible for Puerto Rico on Wednesday, where a tropical storm warning and hurricane watch have been issued. Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with maximum totals of 6 inches are possible across Puerto Rico and St. Croix.

The Dominican Republic has issued a tropical storm warning from Isla Saona to Samana.

Dorian is projected to move across the eastern and northeastern Caribbean Sea during the next few days, passing near or south of Puerto Rico on Wednesday, near or over eastern Hispaniola — which includes the Dominican Republic and Haiti — Wednesday night and north of Hispaniola on Thursday. Its center is forecast to move near the Turks and Caicos and southeastern Bahamas on Thursday night and Friday.

2019 Tampa Bay Times Hurricane Guide

HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE: Get ready and stay informed at tampabay.com/hurricane

PREPARE YOUR STUFF: Get your documents and your data ready for a storm

BUILD YOUR KIT: The stuff you’ll need to stay safe — and comfortable — for the storm

PROTECT YOUR PETS: Your pets can’t get ready for a storm. That’s your job

NEED TO KNOW: Click here to find your evacuation zone and shelter

What Michael taught the Panhandle and Tampa Bay

What the Panhandle’s top emergency officials learned from Michael

‘We’re not going to give up.’ What a school superintendent learned from Michael

What Tampa Bay school leaders fear most from a storm

Tampa Bay’s top cops fear for those who stay behind

ALSO IN THIS SECTION

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    The system is expected to produce heavy rainfall and flash floods in the eastern Caribbean.
  2. Atlantic tropical cyclones and disturbances, as of 11 a.m. Thursday. National Hurricane Center
    It is projected to pass north of Puerto Rico on Saturday and east of the southeastern Bahamas on Sunday.
  3. Atlantic tropical cyclones and disturbances, as of 5 a.m. Thursday. National Hurricane Center
    The system should stay well east of the United States, according to forecasters.
  4. Tropical Storm Jerry is expected to become reach hurricane status on Friday. National Hurricane Center
    Forecasters expect the storm to reach hurricane status on Friday.
  5. This satellite image shows Hurricane Michael on Oct. 9, 2018, as it enters the Gulf of Mexico. It made landfall near Mexico Beach in the Panhandle as a Category 5 storm. [Photo courtesy of NOAA] NOAA
    Nearly a year after the storm, 18,000 claims are still open.
  6. The tropical outlook on Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2019. National Hurricane Center
    The depression is expected to become Tropical Storm Jerry by early Wednesday, then strengthen to a hurricane by the weekend.
  7. Hurricane Humberto's projected path as of 5 a.m. Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. National Hurricane Center
    It could become a major hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday morning.
  8. The forecast track for Hurricane Humberto, as of 5 a.m. Monday. National Hurricane Center
    The Category 1 hurricane is moving away from the southeastern United States and expected to approach Bermuda by Wednesday night.
  9. Mos Antenor, 42, drives a bulldozer while clearing the road after Hurricane Dorian Mclean's Town, Grand Bahama, Bahamas, Friday Sept. 13, 2019. (AP Photo/Ramon Espinosa) RAMON ESPINOSA  |  AP
    Threatening to exacerbate islands’ problems, Humberto’s rains were falling on Abaco island.
  10. Members of the fire rescue team Task Force 8, from Gainesville, Florida, help remove a body one week after Hurricane Dorian hit The Mudd neighborhood in the Marsh Harbor area of Abaco Island, Bahamas, Monday, Sept. 9, 2019. Dorian, the most powerful hurricane in the northwestern Bahamas' recorded history, has killed at least 44 people in Bahamas as of Sunday, Sept. 8, according to the government. GONZALO GAUDENZI  |  AP
    Many in the northwestern Bahamas, known for its casinos, golf courses and mega yachts, worry they will be forced into deep poverty.
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