1. Hurricane

Tampa Bay remains inside Tropical Storm Dorian’s forecast cone; late Saturday landfall possible for Florida

The system is expected to bring considerable wind and rain to Florida later this week and this weekend.
Tropical Storm Dorian's projected path, as of 2 p.m. Tuesday. [National Hurricane Center]
Tropical Storm Dorian's projected path, as of 2 p.m. Tuesday. [National Hurricane Center]
Published Aug. 27, 2019
Updated Aug. 28, 2019

LATEST UPDATE: Tropical Storm Dorian gathering strength, could hit Florida as Category 2 hurricane

The Tampa Bay area is inside the five-day forecast cone for Tropical Storm Dorian, which could make landfall on the east coast of Florida late Saturday or Sunday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center.

While a great deal of uncertainty remains about the storm’s future track and intensity, it is expected to bring considerable wind and rain to the state later this week and weekend.

“Take time now to prepare a hurricane emergency kit,” the hurricane center said. “Don’t wait until a warning is issued and the stores are empty or closed. Prepare an emergency plan and make sure every member of your family knows what to do if they aren’t home when an emergency is declared.”

As of 2 p.m. Tuesday, Dorian was located about 70 miles west-northwest of Martinique and continuing to move to the west-northwest at 13 mph toward Puerto Rico, Haiti and the Dominican Republic. The storm is expected to make a northwest turn on Wednesday.

Dorian brought tropical storm conditions to portions of the Lesser Antilles throughout the early afternoon, where tropical storm watches and warnings were in effect. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is expected from Martinique to St. Vincent, with as much as 10 inches possible, on Tuesday night.

Tropical storm conditions are expected and hurricane conditions are possible for Puerto Rico on Wednesday, where a tropical storm warning and hurricane watch have been issued. Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with maximum totals of 6 inches are possible across Puerto Rico and St. Croix.

The Dominican Republic has issued a tropical storm warning from Isla Saona to Samana.

Dorian is projected to move across the eastern and northeastern Caribbean Sea during the next few days, passing near or south of Puerto Rico on Wednesday, near or over eastern Hispaniola — which includes the Dominican Republic and Haiti — Wednesday night and north of Hispaniola on Thursday. Its center is forecast to move near the Turks and Caicos and southeastern Bahamas on Thursday night and Friday.

2019 Tampa Bay Times Hurricane Guide

HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE: Get ready and stay informed at

PREPARE YOUR STUFF: Get your documents and your data ready for a storm

BUILD YOUR KIT: The stuff you’ll need to stay safe — and comfortable — for the storm

PROTECT YOUR PETS: Your pets can’t get ready for a storm. That’s your job

NEED TO KNOW: Click here to find your evacuation zone and shelter

What Michael taught the Panhandle and Tampa Bay

What the Panhandle’s top emergency officials learned from Michael

‘We’re not going to give up.’ What a school superintendent learned from Michael

What Tampa Bay school leaders fear most from a storm

Tampa Bay’s top cops fear for those who stay behind


  1. Sea rise is pushing inland and amplifying the threats from hurricanes, wiping out one of the rarest forests on the planet in the Florida Keys. [MATIAS J. OCNER  |]
  2. Flooding from an October king tide in Miami Shores fills streets, sidewalks and driveways at its peak. [Miami Herald]
  3. From left, Tampa Mayor Jane Castor, St. Petersburg Mayor Rick Kriseman and Clearwater Mayor George Cretekos speak at a summit held by the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council's Resiliency Coalition on Tuesday at the Hilton Carillon Park in St. Petersburg. [LANGSTON TAYLOR]
  4. The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) aboard NOAA's GOES East captured this view of Hurricane Dorian overnight on Sept. 4, 2019. The GLM continually looks for lightning flashes in the Western Hemisphere, both on land and nearby ocean regions and can detect all three major lightning types: in-cloud, cloud-to-cloud and cloud-to-ground lightning. Alongside radar and other weather satellite data, lightning information helps forecasters understand when a storm is forming, intensifying and becoming more dangerous. [NOAA]
  5. Ridge Road in Pasco County currently ends at Moon Lake Road. The county wants to extend it 8 miles to link to the Suncoast Parkway and then to U.S. 41 in Land O' Lakes. [Tampa Bay Times]
  6. Denis Phillips, chief meteorologist for ABC Action news (WFTS-Ch. 28 ), center, serves cookies to Griffin Frank, of Tampa, right, while hosting a fundraiser for the Children's Miracle Network with hot chocolate, popcorn, Doubletree Chocolate Chip cookies and even a few homemade Rule #7 Wine glasses, on Saturday, December 14, 2019, at his home in Palm Harbor. At left is Denis' wife, Robyn Phillips, and at right is his son, Josh Phillips, 16. [DOUGLAS R. CLIFFORD  |  TImes]
  7. Hurricane Dorian left homes in ruin in the Bahamas. [FERNANDO LLANO  |  AP]
  8. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center shows the storm moving toward the northeast out to sea. [National Hurricane Center]
  9. Tropical storm Sebastien has developed in the Atlantic and now has an 80 percent chance of turning into a tropical cyclone. [National Hurricane Center] [National Hurricane Center]
  10. Forecasters with the National Weather Service estimate that the system has a 50-percent chance of developing into a tropical or sub-tropical depression during the next 48 hours. [National Weather Service]
  11. Mos Antenor, 42, drives a bulldozer while clearing the road after Hurricane Dorian Mclean's Town, Grand Bahama, Bahamas on Sept. 13. (AP Photo/Ramon Espinosa) [RAMON ESPINOSA  |  AP]
  12. The projected path of Tropical Storm Olga [National Hurricane Center]