1. Hurricane

Tropical disturbance could bring extra rain to Florida, become tropical cyclone by weekend

Regardless of development, Tampa Bay is likely to get some extra wet weather this weekend.
Invest 95L (orange) could become the next named storm of 2019. [National Hurricane Center]
Published Sep. 11

The next named storm of 2019, Tropical Storm Humberto, could be on its way and it could pop up near Florida.

The National Hurricane Center is tracking three systems, two of which have no more than a 20-percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within five days. The third, however has a 60-percent chance of development over the next five days and is bringing added rain to an already storm-battered Bahamas Wednesday.

The disturbance, Invest 95L, had already made its way into the southern Bahamas Wednesday morning with rain bands extending hundreds of miles from the center. While only limited development of the slow-moving disturbance is expected over the next few days, ships traveling through the Bahamas have reported squalls gusting with tropical-storm force winds.

As Invest 95L makes its way into the straits of Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico, forecasters said conditions could become more favorable for development into a tropical cyclone. Regardless of development, however, forecasters said the system will bring plenty of tropical moisture to Tampa Bay by Friday, setting the bay area up for a wet weekend.

“The best area for development will be in the Gulf, but regardless, it’ll still bring moisture on its eastern side and that’ll increase our chances,” National Weather Service forecaster Dustin Norman said.

As the storm heads west into the Gulf, Tampa Bay would be on its eastern side, bringing the likeliest chance for heavier rains in the area. A potential track and intensity would have to be closely watched, Norman said. Right now it’s just too early to tell.

2019 Tampa Bay Times Hurricane Guide

HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE: Get ready and stay informed at

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BUILD YOUR KIT: The stuff you’ll need to stay safe — and comfortable — for the storm

PROTECT YOUR PETS: Your pets can’t get ready for a storm. That’s your job

NEED TO KNOW: Click here to find your evacuation zone and shelter

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  1. Atlantic tropical cyclones and disturbances, as of 11 a.m. Thursday. National Hurricane Center
    It is projected to pass north of Puerto Rico on Saturday and east of the southeastern Bahamas on Sunday.
  2. Atlantic tropical cyclones and disturbances, as of 5 a.m. Thursday. National Hurricane Center
    The system should stay well east of the United States, according to forecasters.
  3. Tropical Storm Jerry is expected to become reach hurricane status on Friday. National Hurricane Center
    Forecasters expect the storm to reach hurricane status on Friday.
  4. This satellite image shows Hurricane Michael on Oct. 9, 2018, as it enters the Gulf of Mexico. It made landfall near Mexico Beach in the Panhandle as a Category 5 storm. [Photo courtesy of NOAA] NOAA
    Nearly a year after the storm, 18,000 claims are still open.
  5. The tropical outlook on Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2019. National Hurricane Center
    The depression is expected to become Tropical Storm Jerry by early Wednesday, then strengthen to a hurricane by the weekend.
  6. Hurricane Humberto's projected path as of 5 a.m. Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. National Hurricane Center
    It could become a major hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday morning.
  7. The forecast track for Hurricane Humberto, as of 5 a.m. Monday. National Hurricane Center
    The Category 1 hurricane is moving away from the southeastern United States and expected to approach Bermuda by Wednesday night.
  8. Mos Antenor, 42, drives a bulldozer while clearing the road after Hurricane Dorian Mclean's Town, Grand Bahama, Bahamas, Friday Sept. 13, 2019. (AP Photo/Ramon Espinosa) RAMON ESPINOSA  |  AP
    Threatening to exacerbate islands’ problems, Humberto’s rains were falling on Abaco island.
  9. Members of the fire rescue team Task Force 8, from Gainesville, Florida, help remove a body one week after Hurricane Dorian hit The Mudd neighborhood in the Marsh Harbor area of Abaco Island, Bahamas, Monday, Sept. 9, 2019. Dorian, the most powerful hurricane in the northwestern Bahamas' recorded history, has killed at least 44 people in Bahamas as of Sunday, Sept. 8, according to the government. GONZALO GAUDENZI  |  AP
    Many in the northwestern Bahamas, known for its casinos, golf courses and mega yachts, worry they will be forced into deep poverty.
  10. The tropical outlook on Saturday Sept. 14, 2019. National Hurricane Center
    A north-northwest turn is expected by Sunday, just as the storm is projected to become a hurricane.