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Meteorologists say there’s a 70 percent chance Subtropical Storm Arthur forms this weekend

The system still doesn’t appear to pose any threat to Florida.

There is now a 70 percent chance that the first named storm of the 2020 hurricane season will form this weekend in the Atlantic Ocean, according to the National Hurricane Center. If it reaches subtropical storm status, it would be named Arthur.

The hurricane center says the system will likely not be a threat to Florida, even if it becomes a subtropical storm with wind speeds of up to 40 miles per hour. Meteorologists do say, however, that the storm serves as a reminder that the Atlantic hurricane season is already upon us — even though the official starting date is June 1.

The system that could become Subtropical Storm Arthur was just an area of low pressure near the Bahamas as of Wednesday. Meteorologists from the National Weather Service’s office in Ruskin believe it will begin to organize and become a subtropical storm on Friday or Saturday.

“There isn’t much there at the moment," said weather service meteorologist Dustin Norman of the Ruskin office. "What we’re expecting is an area of low pressure to form near the Bahamas or over the Bahamas by Friday or Saturday. Then it’ll eventually pull off to the northeast, headed in the general direction toward Bermuda.”

Arthur would make 2020 the sixth year in a row to have at least one named subtropical storm form in May, according to the weather service.

Hurricane names from 2017-2022. [National Hurricane Center]

2019 Tampa Bay Times Hurricane Guide

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