Wet weekend forecast for Tampa Bay starting with 70% rain chance Friday

Meantime, a tropical disturbance in the mid-Atlantic could become a tropical storm next week. Where it is headed remains uncertain.
Rain is expected Friday, Saturday and Sunday throughout the Tampa Bay area.
Rain is expected Friday, Saturday and Sunday throughout the Tampa Bay area. [ Spectrum Bay News 9 ]
Published Sept. 17, 2021

Tampa Bay is in for a rainy weekend.

There is a 70 percent chance of rain Friday, followed by a 50 percent chance Saturday and Sunday, said meteorologist Juli Marquez of Spectrum Bay News 9.

On Friday, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected until 2 p.m. then showers and possibly a thunderstorm afterward, according to the National Weather Service. A high of 88 with heat index values as high as 98 are expected and a low Friday night of 75.

The pattern for Saturday and Sunday is expected to be similar.

Meantime, exactly a week after the climatological peak of hurricane season, the tropical Atlantic Ocean was busy with potential tropical systems on Friday.

There are no imminent threats to Florida but one tropical disturbance something is worth Floridians attention over the weekend, Marquez said.

The disturbance was in the south-central tropical Atlantic on Friday morning, moving west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph. It has a 70 percent chance of becoming a tropical storm in the next five days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

It was just an area of “disorganized thunderstorms” on Friday but conditions are conducive for development over the weekend.

Marquez said it’s too early to forecast an exact path for the disturbance. Some spaghetti models show the storm making a turn north next week away from all land. Other models show the system entering the Caribbean Sea on a path similar to hurricanes Eta and Iota last November. Eta made landfall in Cedar Key on Nov. 12 as a tropical storm after pounding the Tampa Bay area with wind and rain.

“It’s something to keep an eye on over the weekend and early next week,” Marquez said.

Elsewhere in the tropics, a disturbance directly off the coast of Africa has just a 20 percent chance of development in the next five days. Another disturbance, this one about 150 miles off the North Carolina coast, has a 70 percent chance of formation in the same time period but poses no threat to land.

The next named storms of the season will be Peter and Odette.

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