Forecasters say tropical depression could form in Caribbean

Forecasters say a disturbance in the eastern Caribbean could form into a tropical depression by early next week.

The National Hurricane Center said in its 8 p.m. advisory Thursday that an area of low pressure is expected to form over the eastern Caribbean this weekend.

“Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the disturbance moves generally westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea,” the advisory states.

Forecasters give the disturbance a 50% chance of forming into a tropical system by early next week.

The developments in the Caribbean come as forecasters remind Floridians that hurricane season isn’t over until Nov. 30, and that it is not uncommon for hurricanes to form in late October and early November.

Forecasters also are watching a patch of rough weather in the southwestern Atlantic that was producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms Thursday and could result in the formation of a “surface low pressure system” Thursday night or Friday.

“Some subsequent development could occur through Saturday,” the Hurricane Center’s 8 p.m. advisory states. “By late Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development.”

Forecasters give the system a 30% chance of strengthening into a tropical system over the next five days.

• • •

Tampa Bay Times Hurricane Ian coverage

HOW TO HELP: Where to donate or volunteer to help Hurricane Ian victims.

FEMA: Floridians hurt by Ian can now apply for FEMA assistance. Here’s how.

HOW RELIABLE ARE HURRICANE MODELS? Hurricane Ian gave us some answers.

POST-STORM QUESTIONS: After Hurricane Ian, how to get help with fallen trees, food, damaged shelter.

HOME HARDENING: Qualified Florida homeowners could receive up to $10K through program.

MORE STORM COVERAGE: Get ready and stay informed at tampabay.com/hurricane.