Donald Trump has surprised us all so many times, but could it be that he will go down in history as a politician who, in the vein of Franklin D. Roosevelt and John F. Kennedy, won by mastering a revolutionary new technology?
I'm speaking, of course, of Twitter. If you think it's odd that Trump, a 70-year-old who ran a decade after the medium was invented, is the one to have grasped the potential of social media, you're not alone. But, in a way, it makes cyclical sense.
Politicians are usually lagging indicators. Warren G. Harding was the first president to be heard on the radio, but Franklin Roosevelt was the first to fully comprehend radio's potential for communicating intimacy with the American public.
While FDR had appeared on TV, and Harry Truman was the first president to deliver a televised speech, it wasn't until John F. Kennedy's campaign in 1960 that a politician capitalized on the fact that TV was more than just radio with pictures. Just as radio was an obvious benefit to a president who had a physical disability, TV was a blessing for a president who oozed charisma.
Whether Harding or Truman, the first president to use a given medium in office is never the one to master it, primarily because the temptation is always to see a new technology through the lens of an old paradigm.
As the late author Neil Postman observed, it is incorrect to think of television as an extension of an old medium, just as it would be foolish to think of the automobile as a horseless carriage. Yet, the fact that films with sound were originally referred to as "talkies" betrays the fact that we almost always see technological advancements through the prism of an old template.
This happens until someone with creativity and vision (and necessity!) discovers that each technology is inherently different. In the case of radio, FDR was the first president to fully grasp its potential to humanize politics; in the case of television, JFK (vs. Nixon) — and later, Ronald Reagan — deftly harnessed its ability to glamorize politics with images.
Which brings us to President-elect Donald Trump. Barack Obama's image is younger and hipper, but his use of social media generally fit into an old paradigm. Twitter was treated like a fax machine. It is Trump who seems to have grasped that social media — Twitter, specifically — lends itself to being a more intimate and unfiltered medium.
This is not to say there are no inherent dangers in the president-elect's use of Twitter. A lot of Trump's scandals and gaffes are the product of Twitter. And reports that his staff had finally wrested his Twitter account away seemed to coincide with his success at the end of the general election.
Having said that, I've long thought that, were it not for Twitter and 24-hour cable news, Trump's nomination and election would not have been possible. And it could be just as valuable in terms of governing. Could it be that Twitter is his secret weapon?
Spend your days with Hayes
Subscribe to our free Stephinitely newsletter
You’re all signed up!
Want more of our free, weekly newsletters in your inbox? Let’s get started.Explore all your options
With Twitter, Trump is able to go around the media filter. This was sometimes true with TV (Reagan would certainly use TV to go over the heads of his critics), but the last time a medium allowed a president to do such a thing to this degree was when FDR used the "fireside chat."
Don't be surprised if, like FDR, Trump marshals his Twitter followers to lobby and troll members of Congress who oppose him. Let's suppose, for example, some principled conservative House members oppose his plans for infrastructure spending. President Trump could communicate directly (and at no expense) to constituents via Twitter. And, in this world where community is taking a backseat to individualism and atomization, don't be surprised if Republican base voters are more sympathetic to President Trump than they are to their locally elected officials.
In a year when spending countless millions of dollars on TV ads seemed to be a fruitless endeavor, have we finally arrived at the point where social media supplants everything else? The revolution will not be televised.
Matt K. Lewis is a senior contributor at the Daily Caller and the author of "Too Dumb to Fail." © 2016 CQ-Roll Call