The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook recently released win totals for the 2019 NFL regular season. Here are my over/under picks for all 32 teams: UNDER. The Cardinals were by far the worst team in the NFL last season and just hit the reset button on their rebuild by drafting Kyler Murray and trading Josh Rosen. This might take awhile. UNDER. At the draft, the Falcons would have liked to have come away with a defensive tackle, but Ed Oliver and Christian Wilkins were gone by the time it was their turn to pick. The biggest change on defense will be coach Dan Quinn taking over as play-caller. UNDER. The Ravens lost four defensive starters in free agency (C.J. Mosley, Za’Darius Smith, Terrell Suggs and Eric Weddle). UNDER. The Bills are the bizzaro Bucs. Instead of a playoff-caliber offense and bad defense, they have a playoff-caliber defense and bad offense. UNDER. The Panthers’ use of a third-round pick (100th overall) on quarterback Will Grier tells me that they’re more than mildly concerned about Cam Newton’s status for the start of the season. Newton, 30, is recovering from surgery on his throwing shoulder. UNDER. The Bears haven’t gotten over Cody Parkey’s missed 43-yard field goal in their playoff loss to the Eagles. They have eight kickers — yes, eight — in camp. Their focus, though, should be on improving an offense that was below average. The defense will have trouble repeating last season’s historic performance. UNDER. The Bengals allowed the second-most yards per drive (38.1) and second-most points per drive (2.6). A team like the Chiefs has the offense to overcome a defense that bad; the Bengals do not. UNDER. I get the excitement over Baker Mayfield throwing touchdown passes to Odell Beckham Jr., but since when were the Browns allowed to have nice things? This over/under number seems inflated. UNDER. No one played in more close games than the Cowboys, who went 9-3 in games decided by one score. They probably won’t do that again. Before last season, they had been 34-29 in such games under coach Jason Garrett. UNDER. I like the coaching hire (Vic Fangio) but not the quarterback acquisition (Joe Flacco). He has been a below-average passer in three of the past four seasons. Drew Lock wouldn’t be in Denver if the Broncos truly believed in Flacco. OVER. I don’t remember anything about the Lions’ 2018 season besides rookie coach Matt Patricia calling out a reporter because of his bad posture . Speaking of bad, Detroit’s defense. It generated the fourth-lowest rate of pressure and forced the second-lowest rate of takeaways. I’m expecting the Lions to improve in those departments in Patricia’s second season. Free agent acquisitions Trey Flowers and Justin Coleman should help. PASS. The offense will be fine (they still have Aaron Rodgers), but whether they can rebound from two straight sub-.500 seasons depends on the defense, which by DVOA ranked as the fourth worst. The Packers added a free agent at every level — Za’Darius Smith at defensive end, Preston Smith at linebacker and Adrian Amos at safety. UNDER. The Texans schedule was relatively generous last season (only two of their 11 wins came against teams with a record better than .500). This season’s slate looks much tougher (at Saints, at Chargers, at Chiefs, at Ravens and home against the Patriots). OVER. They have the foundation at quarterback and offensive line and the depth on defense (they added All-Pro pass rusher Justin Houston) to win 10 games again. A dark horse Super Bowl contender. UNDER. This over/under probably would be 6 or 6.5 if Blake Bortles were still around. Super Bowl LII MVP Nick Foles instantly makes the Jaguars a game or two better, but he lacks the weapons that he had in Philly. UNDER. The 2018 Chiefs offense was one of the best offenses of the past decade, right there with the 2007 Patriots, 2011 Packers, 2011 Saints and 2013 Broncos. Chances are Patrick Mahomes and company will be very good again but not quite as dominant. OVER. Even if the Chargers can’t repeat their success in one-score games (5-1), they should get to at least 10 wins and challenge for the AFC West title. OVER. The Rams led the NFC in points scored (527). Of the previous 20 teams that have scored 500 points in a season, only four have scored that many again the next season (1999-2000 Rams, 2000-2001 Rams, 2010-2011 Patriots, 2011-2012 Patriots). They’ve patched up their leaky run defense, which was one of their few weaknesses last season. UNDER. General manager Chris Grier in March: “As (coach Brian Flores) has talked about, we’re competing, but we’re going to build it the right way. We’re going to be smart about it.” That’s how you say “we’re going to be bad” in a nice way. UNDER. Kirk Cousins is 34-38-2 in games in which he starts. Need more evidence that he’s mediocre? He listens to Creed. If he didn’t play quarterback in the NFL, he would be a stock photo dad. OVER. The Patriots’ streak of consecutive seasons with at least 12 wins (eight) came to an end in 2018. Against possibly the league’s softest schedule, Bill Belichick and Tom Brady should dominate once again. OVER. Don’t count on 13 wins again, but more than 10 seems like a safe bet for a team that had the league’s best point differential last season (plus-151). The Saints and Patriots each won an NFL-high eight games by double digits. OVER. It’s tempting to dock the Giants wins for using the sixth overall pick on Daniel Jones in last month’s draft, but it doesn’t work that way. Based on their point differential last season, they were closer to a 7-9 team than a 5-11 team. OVER. The Jets are the best team in New York. Let that sink in. And this, too: Despite finishing with a 4-12 record last season, they have a higher over/under than the Bucs. PASS. Sometimes a team can go 4-12 but lose a handful of close games. That was not the 2018 Raiders. They were every bit as bad as their record suggested. They lost nine games by 14 or more points, most in the NFL. UNDER. The Eagles snuck into the postseason thanks to a Week 17 Vikings loss. Among the playoff teams, Philadelphia’s plus-19 point differential was the second worst (the Cowboys had a plus-15 differential). OVER. Don’t hand the AFC North title to the Ravens or Browns just yet. Ben Roethlisberger, 37, should continue to produce even without top target Antonio Brown. The Steelers finished with the third-fewest takeaways; if they can rebound in that department, put them down for double-digit wins. UNDER. The biggest reason for the 49ers’ disappointing 4-12 finish wasn’t Jimmy Garoppolo’s season-ending injury. It was bad turnover luck. San Francisco’s seven takeaways were the fewest in NFL history. That won’t happen again. UNDER. The Seahawks led the NFL in turnover differential with a plus-15 margin. A league-low 11 giveaways was a big part of that, but so were a league-leading 14 fumble recoveries. There’s some skill involved in forcing fumbles, but recovering them is largely a result of being in the right place at the right time. Expect some regression. UNDER. Based on the Bucs’ point differential last season, they underachieved. You would expect a team that allowed 68 more points than it scored to win six or seven games. (Washington, Cincinnati, Buffalo and Miami had worse differentials but won more games.) Factor in a coaching change, and the over on 6.5 is a tempting bet. Tampa Bay’s schedule, however, is among the toughest (it’s playing a “home” game in London). UNDER. This is also the over/under for number of minutes a fan can watch the Titans before falling asleep. Seriously, when was the last time you sat through one of their games and said afterward, “Wow! That was a lot of fun!” UNDER. Can we trust Washington to not ruin Dwayne Haskins? No, we cannot. Contact Thomas Bassinger at email@example.com. Follow @tometrics.