Forecast: Potential tropical system brings rain, storms to Tampa Bay

Chances are low, but there as forecasters track an upper level, low-pressure system with potential tropical development.
The sun begins to peak over downtown Tampa on May 2, 2019. A potential tropical disturbance in the Bahamas was expected to produce potentially strong storms across Tampa Bay later in the day. [CARL LISCIANDRELLO | Times]
The sun begins to peak over downtown Tampa on May 2, 2019. A potential tropical disturbance in the Bahamas was expected to produce potentially strong storms across Tampa Bay later in the day. [CARL LISCIANDRELLO | Times]
Published May 2
Updated May 2

Someone needs to tell Mother Nature to go back to bed.

It's barely May and forecasters with the National Weather Service are already tracking a disturbance with potential for tropical development. Chances for that development might be low, at 20 percent over the next five days. But the area of upper-level, low pressure will be bringing rain to Florida on Thursday regardless.

That upper-level low has been hanging near the Bahamas for most of the week, while high pressure brought three straight days of 90-degree weather to Tampa Bay. That's well over the normal of 84. Now that high pressure is moving out, that disturbance will take hold briefly. Forecasters said it'll send widespread showers and a few isolated thunderstorms over south and west-central Florida on Thursday. Rain chances for the region are around 70 percent Thursday.

RELATED: A potential tropical system in early May? It's 'unusual, but not unheard of'

Most of the rain should come by the early afternoon, but clear by evening, forecasters said. Some lingering showers could pop up Friday as well, but upper-level steering will send the disturbance back to the western Atlantic fairly quickly.

Cloud cover and rain will keep temperatures closer to normal Thursday, likely around the middle 80s, though it could pop to upper 80s if the sun comes out.

More weather

EXTENDED FORECAST: The 10-day outlook for the Tampa Bay area

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Contact Daniel Figueroa IV at dfigueroa@tampabay.com. Follow @danuscripts.

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